Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
5º
4º
68
3º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
93 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
85 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 6 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
STJ
0 - 2
KIL
25%
29%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 0
ROS
66%
21%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HOM
1 - 1
KIL
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
KIL
5 - 2
STM
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
KIL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GLA
2 - 0
HOM
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HOM
4 - 2
LIV
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STM
1 - 2
HOM
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HOM
1 - 1
KIL
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 1
HOM
18%
24%
58%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |