KFUM Oslo vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
13º
7º
37
2º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 56 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 54 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 54 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 48 |
5º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 45 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 40 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 37 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 36 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 34 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 31 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 30 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 30 |
15º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 29 |
16º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 89% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFUM Oslo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
LYS
2 - 3
KFU
17%
20%
63%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HAU
0 - 1
KFU
48%
25%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SOG
1 - 1
KFU
28%
23%
50%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
KFU
0 - 0
BBS
16%
20%
64%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FRI
0 - 3
KFU
12%
17%
70%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
RAU
2 - 3
FFK
26%
23%
52%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ODD
0 - 2
FFK
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
RBK
27%
23%
50%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
SDF
48%
25%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 5
FFK
19%
21%
60%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | +1 |