KAA Gent vs Pogon Szczecin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
KVM
0 - 1
GEN
21%
22%
57%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
ZIL
2 - 5
GEN
25%
23%
52%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
GEN
3 - 2
KVK
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
GEN
5 - 1
ZIL
54%
23%
24%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
GEN
4 - 2
ZUL
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Pogon Szczecin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
POG
3 - 2
LIN
61%
21%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
POG
2 - 1
WLO
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 5
POG
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
POG
2 - 3
HAL
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
WAR
0 - 1
POG
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |