KAA Gent vs OH Leuven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
2º
1º
30
2º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 7 |
5º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 7 |
6º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
KVM
2 - 4
GEN
31%
24%
45%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GEN
3 - 2
KVC
60%
21%
19%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
STR
0 - 2
GEN
22%
23%
54%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
GEN
3 - 1
KVM
56%
22%
22%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LEU
2 - 1
GEN
24%
23%
54%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
OH Leuven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
LEU
3 - 1
SDL
40%
25%
36%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KVM
3 - 0
LEU
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
KVC
1 - 1
LEU
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LEU
1 - 0
STR
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LEU
2 - 1
GEN
24%
23%
54%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |