Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Juventus Next Gen vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus Next Gen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 3
JS2
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
JS2
0 - 1
CAS
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PES
1 - 3
JS2
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
JS2
2 - 0
ARZ
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VIS
2 - 1
JS2
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
PRG
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
PRG
0 - 2
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
PON
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ASL
0 - 1
CAR
28%
29%
43%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
RIM
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |