UEFA Super Cup Final
Global 9-2
Juventus vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
CAG
0 - 0
JUV
18%
25%
57%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
JUV
3 - 1
REG
80%
14%
5%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
LAZ
0 - 2
JUV
41%
25%
34%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1997 |
PSG
1 - 6
JUV
45%
26%
30%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
JUV
0 - 0
ATL
76%
17%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
PSG
1 - 1
CAN
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
MON
2 - 0
PSG
44%
26%
30%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
BRC
0 - 3
PSG
12%
21%
67%
|
90 | 47 | 43 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1997 |
PSG
1 - 6
JUV
45%
26%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
PSG
1 - 1
MPL
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |