Juventus vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1981 |
NAP
0 - 1
JUV
32%
29%
39%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
JUV
0 - 0
ROM
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
JUV
1 - 0
AVE
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
UDI
0 - 2
JUV
22%
28%
50%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
PIS
1 - 3
JUV
16%
27%
57%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1981 |
FIO
2 - 1
ASC
57%
25%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
PIS
0 - 1
FIO
33%
31%
36%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
NAP
1 - 1
FIO
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
FIO
2 - 1
BOL
57%
26%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
ROM
1 - 1
FIO
57%
25%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |