Paulista A2 Eliminatorias Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
CA Juventus vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
45.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
OES
0 - 4
JUV
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
NOR
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 2
JUV
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
JUV
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 0
TAU
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
PRI
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
FER
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
TAU
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
OES
0 - 1
FER
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
CAP
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |