EC Juventude vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
58.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 1
ATL
25%
27%
49%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 1
JUV
70%
20%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
COR
24%
29%
48%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ATP
2 - 0
JUV
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
FLU
4 - 0
JUV
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 1
COT
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
AMF
1 - 2
SAO
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 2
IVT
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |