EC Juventude vs Ituano analysis

EC Juventude Ituano
80 ELO 75
-4.4% Tilt -13.5%
232º General ELO ranking 872º
24º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
56%
EC Juventude
24.9%
Draw
19.2%
Ituano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
EC Juventude
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
19.2%
Win probability
Ituano
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
EC Juventude
+5%
-1%
Ituano

Points and table prediction

EC Juventude
Their league position
Ituano
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
19º
42
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vitória
72
72
100%
EC Juventude
65
65
100%
Criciúma
64
64
100%
Atlético GO
64
64
100%
Sport Recife
63
63
0%
Novorizontino
63
63
0%
Mirassol
63
63
0%
Vila Nova
61
61
100%
Guaraní
10º
57
57
0%
CRB
57
57
10º
0%
Ceará
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Botafogo SP
12º
47
47
12º
100%
Avaí
13º
44
44
13º
100%
Ituano
14º
42
42
14º
100%
Ponte Preta
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Chapecoense
16º
40
40
16º
100%
Sampaio Correa
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Tombense
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Londrina
19º
31
31
19º
100%
ABC
20º
28
28
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
EC Juventude
Ituano
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

EC Juventude
Ituano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

EC Juventude
EC Juventude
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2023
VIT
Vitória
0 - 0
EC Juventude
JUV
42%
28%
31%
79 78 1 0
21 Oct. 2023
JUV
EC Juventude
2 - 2
Londrina
LON
65%
22%
13%
79 66 13 0
17 Oct. 2023
JUV
EC Juventude
2 - 2
Sport Recife
SPO
37%
28%
36%
79 84 5 0
07 Oct. 2023
TOM
Tombense
1 - 1
EC Juventude
JUV
29%
27%
44%
79 68 11 0
30 Sep. 2023
JUV
EC Juventude
1 - 0
Criciúma
CRI
48%
27%
24%
78 78 0 +1

Matches

Ituano
Ituano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2023
ITU
Ituano
0 - 0
Mirassol
MIR
44%
27%
29%
76 76 0 0
24 Oct. 2023
PPE
Ponte Preta
0 - 0
Ituano
ITU
35%
29%
36%
75 72 3 +1
14 Oct. 2023
ITU
Ituano
0 - 0
CRB
CRB
42%
26%
31%
75 79 4 0
07 Oct. 2023
ATL
Atlético GO
1 - 0
Ituano
ITU
72%
18%
10%
75 86 11 0
30 Sep. 2023
ITU
Ituano
1 - 1
Botafogo SP
BOT
63%
23%
14%
75 69 6 0
X