Junior vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AME
4 - 1
JUN
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 3
JUN
76%
16%
9%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
JUN
1 - 0
EQU
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PAT
1 - 0
JUN
24%
28%
48%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
JUN
3 - 1
JAG
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
LIG
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 0
UNI
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
GAR
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CDG
2 - 2
UNI
25%
31%
45%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |