Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 3-1
Junior vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
JUN
2 - 0
BUC
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
JUN
3 - 0
FLU
30%
28%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
JUN
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
CAU
1 - 1
JUN
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
JUN
3 - 1
ALI
61%
24%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SFE
0 - 1
ALI
61%
24%
16%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ENV
1 - 0
SFE
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
SFE
3 - 0
PAS
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
SFE
1 - 0
UNI
65%
23%
13%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
PAS
0 - 1
SFE
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |