Conmebol Sudamericana Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Junior vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
23.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 1
AGU
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
AGU
2 - 3
JUN
32%
29%
40%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
EQU
0 - 0
JUN
35%
29%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 0
EQU
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 2
JAG
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 1
SFE
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
SFE
1 - 2
TOL
39%
29%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MIL
0 - 3
SFE
44%
29%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
SFE
0 - 2
JUN
40%
29%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SFE
3 - 0
TOL
38%
29%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |