Junior vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
JUN
1 - 0
BUC
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
JUN
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
JUN
2 - 3
PER
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
LIG
0 - 1
JUN
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 0
JUN
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 2
BOT
26%
27%
48%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
BOT
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
LIG
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 2
BAH
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |