Jorge Wilstermann vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
3º
15º
15º
16
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 8 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
5 | 5 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 0
JWI
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
DGV
2 - 2
JWI
17%
26%
57%
|
70 | 24 | 46 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
JWI
3 - 0
OPE
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
OPE
3 - 0
JWI
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
JWI
1 - 1
STR
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BOL
4 - 4
STR
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
OPE
0 - 2
BOL
34%
25%
40%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BOL
3 - 1
DGV
82%
12%
5%
|
69 | 24 | 45 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ROY
1 - 0
BOL
30%
22%
49%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 1
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |