Jong PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
EIN
1 - 0
PSV
41%
23%
36%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
TEL
1 - 0
PSV
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
BVO
4 - 2
PSV
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
PSV
1 - 1
FCO
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
EIN
1 - 1
PSV
37%
24%
39%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 1
HEL
86%
10%
4%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
OSS
0 - 2
EXC
19%
19%
61%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
GNK
4 - 1
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 0
MVV
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
EIN
3 - 1
EXC
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |