Jong Ajax vs Achilles 29 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
RKC
3 - 2
JON
25%
25%
51%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
JON
2 - 1
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
JON
5 - 2
BOS
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 4
JON
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
JON
1 - 1
FCE
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Achilles 29
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ACH
2 - 3
MVV
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
EIN
2 - 1
ACH
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
HEL
1 - 2
ACH
58%
21%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
ACH
1 - 2
NAC
17%
22%
60%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
ACH
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |