Joinville vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 0
JEC
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
JEC
3 - 0
AVA
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
JEC
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
JEC
1 - 1
CHA
15%
23%
63%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CRI
1 - 1
JEC
74%
19%
8%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 2
MAR
13%
19%
69%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAC
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 1
MAR
32%
27%
42%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
CHA
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |