Catarinense 1 Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Joinville vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
62.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NES
1 - 3
JEC
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
JEC
0 - 0
CRI
13%
23%
64%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
JEC
1 - 2
CAC
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
JEC
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 3
JEC
74%
18%
8%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAC
0 - 1
AVA
14%
21%
65%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
1 - 0
BAR
81%
14%
6%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
0 - 1
BRU
59%
22%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FFL
1 - 2
AVA
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
2 - 3
CRI
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |