Jesus y Maria vs At. Móra la Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+132%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesus y Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 1
JYM
18%
19%
63%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
JCA
1 - 0
JYM
8%
13%
80%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
JYM
4 - 3
GAN
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CUA
1 - 3
JYM
28%
20%
52%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
JYM
2 - 1
ECA
69%
17%
13%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
At. Móra la Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 2
HIN
36%
23%
40%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 0
CUB
8%
15%
78%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 1
MOR
90%
7%
2%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 2
AMP
23%
21%
56%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ULD
2 - 0
MOR
75%
15%
10%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |