Lobos UPNFM vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
50.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
10º
10º
48
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VIC
3 - 1
JAG
33%
26%
42%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VID
5 - 1
JAG
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 0
CDG
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 10 | 52 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RES
2 - 1
JAG
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 0
RSO
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
OLI
6 - 2
VID
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 2
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
RSO
3 - 3
OLI
17%
24%
59%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 2
OLI
21%
26%
53%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
4 - 0
RES
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |