Lobos UPNFM vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
10º
10º
29
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
JAG
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 0
VIC
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 1
VID
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CDG
1 - 0
JAG
12%
18%
70%
|
59 | 16 | 43 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 3
RES
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 1
MOT
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MOT
4 - 1
RES
43%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 0
MOT
44%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
MOT
3 - 0
VID
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
MOT
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |