Lobos de la UPNFM vs CD Génesis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+218%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
10º
9º
27
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos de la UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
JAG
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 4
VIC
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 2
MOT
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
JAG
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 1
RES
26%
26%
49%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 0
RES
14%
23%
62%
|
23 | 73 | 50 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 0
CDG
72%
19%
9%
|
23 | 73 | 50 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 0
VID
14%
20%
66%
|
22 | 65 | 43 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
RSO
1 - 2
CDG
78%
15%
7%
|
20 | 64 | 44 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 1
MOT
16%
24%
61%
|
20 | 74 | 54 | 0 |