Jaguares FC vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
JAG
2 - 0
UNI
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
JAG
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
REA
1 - 0
JAG
25%
28%
48%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 0
JAG
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
JAG
1 - 1
UNI
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
NAC
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
PAS
1 - 0
IND
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
AGU
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
CHI
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
5 - 2
IND
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |