Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 3-4
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
JAG
4 - 2
FBK
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
S04
1 - 0
JAG
66%
22%
12%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
JAG
4 - 1
LEI
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
POG
0 - 1
JAG
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
GDA
2 - 0
JAG
42%
29%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
SLB
4 - 1
ARI
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
ARI
3 - 2
PAO
40%
30%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
OLP
0 - 0
ARI
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
ARI
1 - 1
AEK
41%
28%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
AEK
4 - 2
ARI
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -2 |