Jacuipense vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
JAC
2 - 0
BAH
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 1
JAC
11%
17%
72%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
JAC
1 - 0
VIT
16%
24%
59%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SDJ
2 - 5
JAC
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
JAC
1 - 0
ADA
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 1
VIT
10%
21%
70%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ADA
2 - 0
VIT
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SDJ
0 - 0
VIT
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 2
BAH
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
ALA
4 - 1
VIT
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |