Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 0-1
Ituano vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TOM
3 - 0
ITU
30%
30%
41%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ITU
2 - 0
CEA
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
ITU
77%
16%
8%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 0
ITU
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
ITU
1 - 1
CEA
27%
27%
45%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
3 - 0
AMF
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
APC
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAO
30%
26%
45%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
ITU
77%
16%
8%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
TIG
0 - 2
SAO
21%
24%
55%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |