Ituano vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
66.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
INT
1 - 0
ITU
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
COR
2 - 0
ITU
78%
16%
6%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
ITU
1 - 2
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
ITU
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ITU
1 - 1
MIR
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAN
85%
12%
3%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 3
SAO
29%
25%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 1
SAO
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
3 - 2
GUA
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
BRA
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |