Ituano vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
ECS
1 - 0
ITU
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
ITU
0 - 0
PST
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
ITU
0 - 0
MET
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
MET
0 - 1
ITU
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
PST
2 - 1
ITU
21%
25%
53%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
XVD
2 - 0
SAO
31%
26%
44%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 1
XVD
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
MIR
0 - 1
SAO
34%
26%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 2
DES
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |