Ituano vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
67.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
UBE
2 - 0
ITU
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
ITU
78%
16%
6%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
ITU
0 - 0
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
ITU
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
ITU
3 - 1
SAO
21%
25%
55%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 1
PPE
14%
23%
64%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
PPE
1 - 2
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PPE
0 - 1
LIN
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
COR
0 - 1
PPE
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VAS
2 - 1
PPE
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |