Ituano vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
62.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
ITU
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
ITU
1 - 1
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
ITU
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 1
VAS
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LON
0 - 2
ITU
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
58%
22%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAL
11%
21%
68%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
87%
10%
3%
|
89 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SCI
3 - 0
PAL
41%
26%
33%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 1
AMF
71%
19%
11%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |