Ituano vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 0
ITU
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 0
ITU
81%
13%
5%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ITU
0 - 0
BOT
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
ITU
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ITU
0 - 3
GUA
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 2
SAN
34%
27%
40%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
MIR
4 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 1
MIR
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 3
MIR
50%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 1
NOV
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |