Ituano vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 1
ITU
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ITU
3 - 0
TOM
61%
24%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 0
ITU
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 0
OPE
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
ITU
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 1
VIL
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 0
BRU
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
VAS
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 0
BRU
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 1
LON
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |