Ituano vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
ITU
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ITU
0 - 3
GUA
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ITU
1 - 0
COR
18%
27%
56%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
ITU
35%
29%
37%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 0
ITU
44%
28%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
BOT
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 1
BOT
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAN
21%
26%
53%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
NOR
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |