Itapirense vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
10%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 1
USA
35%
27%
39%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 2
DES
27%
26%
48%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 0
ITA
49%
26%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
RBB
1 - 1
ITA
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BER
0 - 1
POR
27%
26%
48%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
BER
61%
22%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
BER
69%
21%
10%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BER
1 - 2
SAN
28%
25%
48%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
BER
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |