Italy U19 vs Georgia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CZE
1 - 2
ITA
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
SCO
1 - 3
ITA
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
SWE
2 - 2
ITA
11%
20%
69%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 1
SUI
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
ITA
7 - 0
LIE
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 15 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Georgia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SCO
2 - 3
GEO
45%
23%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
GEO
0 - 1
CZE
27%
22%
51%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
GEO
0 - 4
ESP
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
GEO
2 - 1
MDA
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
CYP
0 - 2
GEO
19%
20%
61%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |