Italy U20 vs Portugal U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
ENG
0 - 3
ITA
45%
24%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
POL
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
CZE
0 - 1
ITA
22%
21%
58%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
DEU
1 - 1
ITA
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
URY
1 - 0
ITA
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
PRT
2 - 1
NOR
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
PRT
2 - 1
ENG
19%
20%
61%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
PRT
1 - 2
DEU
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
PRT
2 - 1
ROU
49%
23%
29%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
POL
4 - 0
PRT
25%
23%
53%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -2 |