Italy U20 vs Ecuador U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
UKR
1 - 0
ITA
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
4 - 2
MLI
62%
21%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
POL
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 0
JPN
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ECU
0 - 1
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
ECU
0 - 1
KOR
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
USA
1 - 2
ECU
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
URU
1 - 3
ECU
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
ECU
1 - 0
MEX
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ECU
0 - 1
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |