Italy U17 vs Spain U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
UKR
0 - 3
ITA
15%
21%
64%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 1
CYP
80%
13%
6%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 2
IRL
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
GRC
0 - 2
ITA
12%
21%
67%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ITA
4 - 0
FIN
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Spain U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
GER
3 - 4
ESP
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 0
TUR
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 1
FIN
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 2
POR
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 1
SRB
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |