Itabirito vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
73.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.4%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabirito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 2
IFC
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
POA
2 - 0
IFC
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 0
AMF
5%
13%
82%
|
39 | 85 | 46 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 2
VIL
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 3
IFC
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 1
TOM
79%
14%
6%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 2
ATM
13%
23%
65%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 2
CRZ
65%
21%
14%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ATM
4 - 0
DEM
85%
11%
3%
|
90 | 53 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 1
ATM
8%
22%
71%
|
90 | 53 | 37 | 0 |