Itabaiana vs Falcon FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 2
SPO
12%
23%
65%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 2
ITA
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 0
AME
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 2
CRB
8%
19%
73%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
ATG
2 - 3
ITA
17%
22%
62%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Falcon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
FFC
3 - 1
ATG
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
CON
1 - 0
FFC
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FFC
2 - 1
OSE
64%
20%
17%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LAG
1 - 1
FFC
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FFC
2 - 3
DOR
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |