Sergipano Final
Global 4-0
Itabaiana vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
54.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
ITA
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 1
SER
29%
28%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 1
FFC
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FFC
1 - 1
ITA
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 0
ITA
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
LAG
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LAG
0 - 0
CON
20%
26%
53%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 2
CON
14%
21%
65%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
LAG
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
CON
3 - 2
DOR
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |