Itabaiana vs AD Carmópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1063%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CON
0 - 2
ITA
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 0
CON
19%
27%
54%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +3 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
ITA
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 1
SER
29%
28%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 1
FFC
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AD Carmópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
OSE
0 - 0
ADC
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
ADC
1 - 2
OSE
28%
23%
50%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AMP
1 - 3
ADC
27%
21%
52%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ADC
3 - 0
AMP
47%
22%
32%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
ADC
55%
22%
24%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |