Istanbulspor AS vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
67%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
12º
18º
15º
77
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
2º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
97.5% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
40 | 40 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
92.5% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istanbulspor AS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
ANT
2 - 1
IST
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
IST
2 - 0
IST
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
IST
1 - 2
ANK
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
FAT
1 - 2
IST
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GAL
2 - 1
IST
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
FEN
3 - 3
REN
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FEN
1 - 0
IST
61%
22%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
ANK
0 - 3
FEN
14%
21%
65%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
AEK
1 - 2
FEN
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FEN
5 - 4
FAT
77%
16%
8%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |