Northern Ireland U21 vs Iceland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
CZE
2 - 0
NIR
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
PRT
2 - 1
NIR
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
NIR
1 - 1
UKR
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
SCT
1 - 3
NIR
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
DEU
3 - 0
NIR
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Iceland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
ISL
0 - 2
CZE
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
DNK
3 - 2
ISL
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
ISL
1 - 1
SVK
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
AUT
1 - 0
ISL
55%
23%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
ISL
0 - 2
DNK
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |