Liga Premier México Last 16
Global 4-1
Irapuato vs Aguacateros de Peribán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
ADP
1 - 2
IRA
16%
23%
61%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
IRA
18%
24%
58%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
IRA
1 - 1
ESC
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
CAF
0 - 2
IRA
20%
23%
56%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
IRA
0 - 1
RVC
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Aguacateros de Peribán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
ADP
1 - 2
IRA
16%
23%
61%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAF
0 - 1
ADP
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ADP
0 - 2
RVC
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
INT
0 - 4
ADP
22%
21%
57%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
REB
2 - 1
ADP
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |