Interporto vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Interporto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2018 |
INT
1 - 1
GUR
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
INT
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 1
INT
31%
26%
44%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
INT
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
INT
3 - 0
PAR
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
4DE
0 - 1
FER
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
COR
0 - 0
4DE
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
4DE
0 - 2
COR
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
4DE
63%
20%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
4DE
1 - 0
INT
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |