Inter vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1977 |
FIO
3 - 0
INT
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
INT
0 - 2
JUV
31%
28%
42%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
INT
0 - 0
BOL
60%
24%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
ROM
2 - 3
INT
39%
28%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
NAP
0 - 3
INT
55%
24%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1977 |
PRG
4 - 2
NAP
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
SAM
2 - 0
PRG
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
FIO
1 - 0
PRG
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
PRG
1 - 1
JUV
22%
27%
51%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
PRG
3 - 0
ROM
49%
29%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |