Serie A - Relegation tie-breaker Final
Global 2-4
Inter vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1999 |
INT
3 - 1
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
VNZ
3 - 1
INT
27%
27%
46%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
INT
1 - 3
PAR
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1999 |
ROM
4 - 5
INT
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
INT
1 - 3
UDI
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1999 |
INT
3 - 1
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
BOL
2 - 2
SAM
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
LAZ
2 - 0
BOL
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
BOL
1 - 3
CAG
65%
20%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
SAL
4 - 0
BOL
32%
28%
40%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |