Inter vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1940 |
NOV
1 - 0
INT
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
INT
4 - 0
LAZ
74%
16%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
ACM
1 - 3
INT
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
INT
2 - 1
GEN
69%
17%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
FIO
0 - 3
INT
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1940 |
BOL
2 - 0
ACL
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
NAP
1 - 1
BOL
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
BOL
2 - 0
VNZ
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOL
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
BAR
1 - 1
BOL
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | -1 |